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Mexico: A black swan in the making? by Jack on Fri Sep 25, 2009 8:28 pm
From FM 3-24/MCWP 3-33.5:

1-33. Phase II, strategic stalemate, begins with overt guerrilla warfare as the correlation of forces approaches equilibrium. In a rural-based insurgency, guerrillas normally operate from a relatively secure base area in insurgent-controlled territory. In an urban-based insurgency, guerrillas operate clandestinely, using a cellular organization. In the political arena, the movement concentrates on undermining the people’s support of the government and further expanding areas of control. Subversive activities can take the form of clandestine radio broadcasts, newspapers, and pamphlets that openly challenge the control and legitimacy of the established authority. As the populace loses faith in the established authority the people may decide to actively resist it. During this phase, a counterstate may begin to emerge to fill gaps in governance that the host-nation (HN) government is unwilling or unable to address.

Let's take a l...

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0 Comments Viewed 8201 times
If confronted by a mob, by wisconsin_cur on Wed Apr 25, 2012 2:04 am
I heard the question asked recently, how do you defend yourself from a mob. Assuming you have done your best (and failed) to avoid the mob, I see the options as:

1. Turn and run (flight)

This will engage the prey drive of the crowd. they will think they got you if they can only catch you. How big is the crowd and what percentile of the population can you out run? I'm not an avid runner but still in good shape, at least for the first mile or so. When I was tested for a job (self-selection bias at work here since only people who were willing to be tested in their 1 mile time applied) I was in the top 90%. So lets say for the population as a whole I'm in the top 5%. If there are 20 people, the odds are good that at least one of them will catch me.

I am also of the age where I will begin slowing even if I start to run more for exercise. Another question is if I have the lead...

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6 Comments Viewed 240008 times
Returned to the rat race and now I'm wondering why by strider3700 on Wed Jan 06, 2010 3:15 am
I've been "unemployed" for about 14 months having spent the last 12 of them as a full time stay at home dad of a now 19 month old not even bothering to look for work. We didn't really need the extra income and my wife and I figured me spending it taking care of our daughter was a better choice then paying someone to raise her for us. It's been a great year but I had complained a couple of times to my wife that I was definitely not feeling intellectually challenged like I was when I was the manager of a team of programmers. I was thinking that I needed to write some code or do some design as a hobby in the evenings now and again.

Anyways I got a call from a company way out of the past and they wanted me to do testing/programming for them from home. Times were flexible but they wanted 25 hours a week. So we thought this would be a great idea. And to get the time in we would put my daughter in daycare for 1 day a week. We had been thinking about doing that anyways to...

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5 Comments Viewed 12731 times
About Me by General Doom on Sat Jun 06, 2009 4:49 pm
Ramblings from the site owner.

I'm a woman in my late 30s. I have a husband and a young son. I have never been an average American, but that's another (long) story. However, I didn't realize what a predicament our species and the planet was in until shortly before I gave birth to my first and only child. I learned about peak oil after becoming interested in current events books during my pregnancy. Fast Food Nation led to Mad Cow USA. Then I read The Party's Over. That was my "red pill" experience. The "red pill" refers to a scene in the popular movie The Matrix. I, along with many other folks in the peak oil scene, find it an apt analogy for how I felt when I learned about peak oil and what it might mean.

Since then I've learned about all kinds of doom, and learned a lot about various ways of trying to cope with it. I spent several years as a volunteer on a popular peak oil site,...

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0 Comments Viewed 5560 times
Falling Down Stairs by wisconsin_cur on Mon Jul 26, 2010 7:49 pm
In the last week many news sources made hay over the observation that China has surpassed the United States in gross energy consumption.

American journalist Matt Taibbi employed a grotesque analogy last summer to describe the Wall Street titan Goldman Sachs as a "great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money".

In the energy industry, a similar phenomenon has arisen to invite respect, admiration and fear - China's appetite for oil. No survey of the oil sector's present and future can now afford to omit the China factor and its multiple ramifications.

This major new reality in geo-economics has just been underscored by a report from the International Energy Agency

The Asia Times

Lets assume for a minute that if $147 a barrel oil did not result in a net...

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2 Comments Viewed 51799 times

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